Oklahoma vs. Navy: Armed Forces Bowl Betting Preview

The 2024 Armed Forces Bowl will feature a showdown between the Oklahoma Sooners (6-6) and the Navy Midshipmen (9-3) on Friday, December 27. With kickoff scheduled for 12 p.m. ET at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas, this matchup promises to be an exciting clash featuring two teams on different trajectories.

Team Overview

Oklahoma Sooners

The Sooners have had a tumultuous season in their first year in the SEC, finishing with a disappointing 2-6 record in conference play. However, they managed to pull off a stunning upset against Alabama, overcoming a season marred by injuries and transfers. Notably, Oklahoma will be without key offensive players such as starting quarterback Jackson Arnold, tight end Bauer Sharp, and standout receiver Deion Burks, all of whom opted out or transferred. This will place significant pressure on Michael Hawkins, the inexperienced quarterback stepping into the starter role.

Navy Midshipmen

In contrast, Navy enters the bowl season after a successful campaign, finishing the regular season with a 9-3 record. The Midshipmen have demonstrated resilience under head coach Brian Newberry, particularly with their dominating triple-option offense, which averaged 249.3 rushing yards per game this season, ranked sixth nationally. Their strong performance includes a memorable victory over Army, and they will aim for their first 10-win season since 2019.

Key Matchup Factors

Oklahoma's Challenges

• Player Absences: The absences of key players present a critical challenge for Oklahoma. With extensive turnover due to injuries and transfers, Hawkins will be working with a group of young receivers, which could hinder the Sooners' offensive effectiveness.
• Defensive Adjustments: Despite missing key defensive players like linebacker Danny Stutsman, Oklahoma's defensive line remains largely intact. Their ability to prepare against Navy’s unique offensive style will be crucial.

Navy's Strategy

• Running Offense: Navy’s success hinges on its powerful rushing attack. Led by quarterback Blake Horvath, who has been effective both passing and rushing, the Midshipmen will aim to exploit Oklahoma’s defensive weaknesses. Their ability to combine speed with strategic ball control will be a key factor in the outcome.
• Sturdy Roster: Navy boasts a complete roster, largely unaffected by transfer portal disruptions, which gives them an edge in terms of cohesiveness and preparation.

Betting Odds and Predictions

As of now, the betting lines have shifted slightly in favor of Oklahoma, who opened as a 4.5-point favorite but have now dropped down to -1.5 according to consensus odds. The total points over/under is set at 44.

Betting Trends

• Oklahoma: 61% of bets and 43% of the money are backing Oklahoma to cover the spread, while 76% of bets are on them to win outright.
• Navy: With a well-rounded team and a strong record against the spread in recent games, Navy’s performance against the Sooners has captured the attention of bettors.

Expert Predictions

Both teams face challenges heading into the game. But considering the circumstances, experts have shared their predictions:

• Ryan Aber: Navy wins 24-21, citing Oklahoma's defensive vulnerabilities and struggles in the bowl season.
• Joe Mussatto: A close game, with Navy edging out at 23-21, emphasizing that Navy can control the clock with its running game.
• Colton Sulley: Predicts Navy to take the win at 27-21, highlighting Oklahoma's roster turnover issues.

Conclusion

As the Oklahoma Sooners prepare to face off against the Navy Midshipmen in the Armed Forces Bowl, several factors will influence this exciting matchup. Player availability, team cohesion, and current form will all play pivotal roles in determining the winner. Make sure to check back for updates and last-minute betting advice prior to kickoff!

Where to Watch

• Date: Friday, December 27
• Time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
• Streaming: FuboTV (offers a free trial)